AA 650 · LAX → CLE

took off 9:49 AM PT · expected to land 5:13 PM ET (scheduled 10:00 AM PT → 5:53 PM ET)

Forecast issued Sat 3:00 PM ET · 2h after departure

Arrive at CLE more than 15 minutes late?

0% chance · ±0 pts +5 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to CLE?

LIVE

On time or early
100%
15–30 min late
0%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
0%
Over 2 hours late
0%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%; while it’s in the air they come from the FAA’s arrival estimate.

What’s moving the odds

↑ AA's recent on-time record

↑ 10am departures from LAX are often late

↑ LAX is busy at that time

↓ CLE usually runs smoothly

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

Weather at each end

LAX (origin) Gusts13 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

CLE (destination) Gusts11 kt Ceiling2,200 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 650 · LAX → CLE

Odds over time

How late will it get to CLE?