AA 779 · DFW → EWR

took off 12:37 PM CT · expected to land 4:28 PM ET (scheduled 11:57 AM CT → 4:24 PM ET)

Forecast issued Sat 1:00 PM ET · 0h before departure

Arrive at EWR more than 15 minutes late?

39% chance · ±0 pts +4 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to EWR?

LIVE

On time or early
61%
15–30 min late
35%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
0%
Over 2 hours late
0%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%; while it’s in the air they come from the FAA’s arrival estimate.

What’s moving the odds

↑ AA's recent on-time record

↑ This flight has been late 33% of the time recently

↑ 11am departures from DFW are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at EWR

Weather at each end

DFW (origin) Gusts4 kt Ceiling10,667 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

EWR (destination) Gusts18 kt Ceiling9,167 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 779 · DFW → EWR

Odds over time

How late will it get to EWR?