AS 249 · ANC → OTZ

took off 9:08 AM AKT · landed 10:22 AM AKST (scheduled 8:46 AM AKT → 10:25 AM AKST)

Forecast issued Sat 6:00 PM ET · 5h after departure

Arrive at OTZ more than 15 minutes late?

Not late chance · ±1 pts +1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to OTZ?

RESOLVED

On time or early
✓
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ AS's recent on-time record

↑ Other factors

↓ 8am departures from ANC are usually not late

↓ OTZ usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

ANC (origin) Gusts12 kt Ceiling10,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

OTZ (destination) Gusts15 kt Ceiling11,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AS 249 · ANC → OTZ

Odds over time

How late did it get to OTZ?