Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

ROYAL AIR MAROC · FLIGHT AT 219 IN THE AIR (OFF 12:15 AM ET, ETA 11:49 AM +00) · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Saturday, November 7 Today

AT 219 · IAD → CMN

took off 12:15 AM ET · expected to land 11:49 AM +00 (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Sat 3:00 AM ET · 3h after departure

Arrive at CMN more than 15 minutes late?

16% chance · ±1 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ This route's recent record

↑ Gusts to 28 kt forecast at IAD that day

↑ AT's recent on-time record

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at CMN

↓ Arrivals into CMN at that hour are usually not late

Weather at each end

IAD (origin) Gusts28 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

CMN (destination) Gusts8 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AT 219 · IAD → CMN

Odds over time