Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

FRONTIER · FLIGHT F9 9894 LANDED 2:11 PM CT, ~5 MIN LATE · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Saturday, November 7 Today

F9 9894 · DFW → MSY

took off 1:12 PM CT · landed 2:11 PM CT (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Sat 10:00 PM ET · 8h after departure

Arrive at MSY more than 15 minutes late?

56% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 1pm departures from DFW are often late

↑ F9's recent on-time record

↑ DFW is busy at that time

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at MSY

Weather at each end

DFW (origin) Gusts— Ceiling— Visibility— Precip—

MSY (destination) Gusts— Ceiling— Visibility— Precip—

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

F9 9894 · DFW → MSY

Odds over time