G4 1601 · AZA → PVU

departs 10:27 AM MT · arrives 12:05 PM MT

Forecast issued Sat 5:00 PM ET · 4h after departure

Arrive at PVU more than 15 minutes late?

19% chance · ±0 pts +6 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to PVU?

On time or early
80%
15–30 min late
9%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
1%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ AZA is prone to delays

↑ G4's recent on-time record

↑ This flight has been late 24% of the time recently

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at AZA

↓ 10am departures from AZA are usually not late

Weather at each end

AZA (origin) Gusts8 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

PVU (destination) Gusts3 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

G4 1601 · AZA → PVU

Odds over time

How late will it get to PVU?