G4 652 · AZA → SGF

departs 7:07 AM MT · arrives 10:47 AM CT

Forecast issued Fri 11:00 AM ET · 22h before departure

Arrive at SGF more than 15 minutes late?

9% chance · ±1 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to SGF?

On time or early
90%
15–30 min late
4%
30 min–1 hour late
<1%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ G4's recent on-time record

↑ Visibility down to 0.5 mi forecast at SGF that day

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ 7am departures from AZA are usually not late

Weather at each end

AZA (origin) Gusts8 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

SGF (destination) Gusts5 kt Ceiling1,100 ft Visibility0.5 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

G4 652 · AZA → SGF

Odds over time

How late will it get to SGF?