MQ 4283 · ORD → AVP

took off 3:15 PM CT · landed 5:43 PM ET (scheduled 3:05 PM CT → 6:01 PM ET)

Forecast issued Sat 11:00 PM ET · 7h after departure

Arrive at AVP more than 15 minutes late?

Not late chance · ±0 pts +15 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to AVP?

RESOLVED

On time or early
✓
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 3pm departures from ORD are often late

↑ ORD is busy at that time

↑ This flight has been late 26% of the time recently

↓ AVP usually runs smoothly

↓ Saturdays in November are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

ORD (origin) Gusts— Ceiling— Visibility— Precip—

AVP (destination) Gusts— Ceiling— Visibility— Precip—

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

MQ 4283 · ORD → AVP

Odds over time

How late did it get to AVP?