OO 3841 · DTW → BUF

took off 7:19 AM ET · landed 8:06 AM ET (scheduled 7:14 AM ET → 8:31 AM ET)

Forecast issued Sat 1:00 PM ET · 6h after departure

Arrive at BUF more than 15 minutes late?

Not late chance · ±1 pts +8 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to BUF?

RESOLVED

On time or early
✓
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ OO's recent on-time record

↑ Mostly benign weather forecast at DTW

↑ This flight has been late 25% of the time recently

↓ Arrivals into BUF at that hour are usually not late

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

Weather at each end

DTW (origin) Gusts10 kt Ceiling2,700 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

BUF (destination) Gusts11 kt Ceiling1,300 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OO 3841 · DTW → BUF

Odds over time

How late did it get to BUF?