PD 656 · LAS → YYZ

took off 11:48 PM PT · expected to land 6:48 AM EST (scheduled 12:02 AM PT → 7:28 AM EST)

Forecast issued Sat 1:00 AM ET · 2h before departure

Arrive at YYZ more than 15 minutes late?

0% chance · ±0 pts −13 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to YYZ?

LIVE

On time or early
100%
15–30 min late
0%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
0%
Over 2 hours late
0%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%; while it’s in the air they come from the FAA’s arrival estimate.

What’s moving the odds

↑ This route's recent record

↑ 12am departures from LAS are often late

↑ LAS is busy at that time

↓ Arrivals into YYZ at that hour are usually not late

↓ YYZ usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

LAS (origin) Gusts11 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

YYZ (destination) Gusts15 kt Ceiling300 ft Visibility9 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

PD 656 · LAS → YYZ

Odds over time

How late will it get to YYZ?