PT 5801 · PHL → MDT

took off 2:38 PM ET · landed 2:57 PM ET (scheduled 1:34 PM ET → 2:26 PM ET)

Forecast issued Sat 4:00 PM ET · 2h after departure

Arrive at MDT more than 15 minutes late?

Late chance · ±0 pts +6 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to MDT?

RESOLVED

On time or early
–
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
✓
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 1pm departures from PHL are often late

↑ This route's recent record

↑ PHL is busy at that time

↓ Saturdays in November are usually quieter than average

↓ MDT usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

PHL (origin) Gusts15 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

MDT (destination) Gusts15 kt Ceiling9,167 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

PT 5801 · PHL → MDT

Odds over time

How late did it get to MDT?