QX 2003 · ELP → SEA

departs 7:09 PM MT · arrives 9:52 PM PT

Your aircraft is N654QX (E75L), coming in as QX 2003 from SEA: landed 6:29 PM MT.

Forecast issued Sat 8:00 PM ET · 1h before departure

Arrive at SEA more than 15 minutes late?

60% chance · ±0 pts +0 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to SEA?

On time or early
57%
15–30 min late
25%
30 min–1 hour late
9%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
3%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Gusts to 29 kt forecast at SEA that day

↑ Arrivals into SEA at that hour are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ Saturdays in November are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

ELP (origin) Gusts6 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

SEA (destination) Gusts29 kt Ceiling4,500 ft Visibility7 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

QX 2003 · ELP → SEA

Odds over time

How late will it get to SEA?