QX 2141 · AKN → ANC

took off 2:42 PM AKT · expected to land 3:28 PM AKT (scheduled 2:01 PM AKT → 3:21 PM AKT)

Forecast issued Sat 6:00 PM ET · 0h before departure

Arrive at ANC more than 15 minutes late?

40% chance · ±0 pts +4 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to ANC?

LIVE

On time or early
60%
15–30 min late
36%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
0%
Over 2 hours late
0%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%; while it’s in the air they come from the FAA’s arrival estimate.

What’s moving the odds

↑ QX's recent on-time record

↑ This route's recent record

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ Arrivals into ANC at that hour are usually not late

Weather at each end

AKN (origin) Gusts12 kt Ceiling1,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

ANC (destination) Gusts12 kt Ceiling10,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

QX 2141 · AKN → ANC

Odds over time

How late will it get to ANC?