QX 2388 · SEA → RDM

took off 8:20 PM PT · expected to land 8:58 PM PT (scheduled 7:51 PM PT → 9:03 PM PT)

Forecast issued Sat 10:00 PM ET · 1h before departure

Arrive at RDM more than 15 minutes late?

7% chance · ±0 pts −5 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to RDM?

LIVE

On time or early
93%
15–30 min late
7%
30 min–1 hour late
<1%
1–2 hours late
0%
Over 2 hours late
0%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%; while it’s in the air they come from the FAA’s arrival estimate.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ SEA is busy at that time

↑ 7pm departures from SEA are often late

↓ RDM usually runs smoothly

↓ Saturdays in November are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

SEA (origin) Gusts— Ceiling— Visibility— Precip—

RDM (destination) Gusts— Ceiling— Visibility— Precip—

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

QX 2388 · SEA → RDM

Odds over time

How late will it get to RDM?