Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

SUN COUNTRY · FLIGHT SY 3047 LANDED 4:59 AM CT, ~11 MIN LATE · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Saturday, November 7 Today

SY 3047 · TOL → AFW

took off 3:50 AM ET · landed 4:59 AM CT (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Sat 6:00 AM ET · 2h after departure

Arrive at AFW more than 15 minutes late?

16% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Other factors

↑ This route's recent record

↑ Mostly benign weather forecast at TOL

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ TOL usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

TOL (origin) Gusts20 kt Ceiling2,200 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

AFW (destination) Gusts10 kt Ceiling6,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

SY 3047 · TOL → AFW

Odds over time