WN 192 · ABQ → AUS

took off 8:17 AM MT · expected to land 10:38 AM CT (scheduled 8:01 AM MT → 10:56 AM CT)

Forecast issued Sat 9:00 AM ET · 1h before departure

Arrive at AUS more than 15 minutes late?

<1% chance · ±0 pts +8 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to AUS?

LIVE

On time or early
100%
15–30 min late
<1%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
0%
Over 2 hours late
0%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%; while it’s in the air they come from the FAA’s arrival estimate.

What’s moving the odds

↑ WN's recent on-time record

↑ This flight has been late 19% of the time recently

↑ Mostly benign weather forecast at AUS

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ 8am departures from ABQ are usually not late

Weather at each end

ABQ (origin) Gusts9 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

AUS (destination) Gusts14 kt Ceiling3,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.01 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 192 · ABQ → AUS

Odds over time

How late will it get to AUS?