WN 2148 · HOU → PHX

departs 6:06 AM CT · arrives 8:00 AM MT

Your aircraft is N8748Q (B38M), coming in as WN 3155 from STL: landed 8:59 PM CT.

Forecast issued Sat 4:00 AM ET · 3h before departure

Arrive at PHX more than 15 minutes late?

34% chance · ±0 pts +1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to PHX?

On time or early
93%
15–30 min late
4%
30 min–1 hour late
1%
1–2 hours late
1%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ WN's recent on-time record

↑ HOU is prone to delays

↑ This flight has been late 28% of the time recently

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ 6am departures from HOU are usually not late

Weather at each end

HOU (origin) Gusts13 kt Ceiling11,333 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

PHX (destination) Gusts10 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 2148 · HOU → PHX

Odds over time

How late will it get to PHX?