WN 2710 · BDL → MCO

took off 6:45 AM ET · landed 9:20 AM ET (scheduled 6:36 AM ET → 9:37 AM ET)

Forecast issued Sat 11:00 AM ET · 4h after departure

Arrive at MCO more than 15 minutes late?

Late chance · ±0 pts +2 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to MCO?

RESOLVED

On time or early
–
15–30 min late
✓
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 700 ft, visibility down to 2 mi forecast at BDL that day

↑ WN's recent on-time record

↑ Saturdays in November are usually busier than average

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ 6am departures from BDL are usually not late

Weather at each end

BDL (origin) Gusts16 kt Ceiling2,200 ft Visibility9 mi Precip0.06 in

MCO (destination) Gusts11 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 2710 · BDL → MCO

Odds over time

How late did it get to MCO?