WN 3769 · SAT → DAL

departs 5:51 AM CT · arrives 7:05 AM CT

Your aircraft is N8553W (B738), coming in as WN 2828 from BNA: landed 12:47 AM CT.

Forecast issued Sat 5:00 AM ET · 2h before departure

Arrive at DAL more than 15 minutes late?

29% chance · ±0 pts +2 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to DAL?

On time or early
94%
15–30 min late
1%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
<1%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ WN's recent on-time record

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ 5am departures from SAT are usually not late

Weather at each end

SAT (origin) Gusts18 kt Ceiling2,200 ft Visibility9.33333 mi Precip0.16 in

DAL (destination) Gusts9 kt Ceiling7,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 3769 · SAT → DAL

Odds over time

How late will it get to DAL?