WN 4649 · MCO → MCI

departs 8:43 AM ET · arrives 10:46 AM CT

Forecast issued Fri 6:00 PM ET · 15h before departure

Arrive at MCI more than 15 minutes late?

16% chance · ±3 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to MCI?

On time or early
83%
15–30 min late
10%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ WN's recent on-time record

↑ This flight has been late 27% of the time recently

↑ MCO is prone to delays

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ Arrivals into MCI at that hour are usually not late

Weather at each end

MCO (origin) Gusts11 kt Ceiling1,100 ft Visibility9 mi Precip0.03 in

MCI (destination) Gusts7 kt Ceiling800 ft Visibility7 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 4649 · MCO → MCI

Odds over time

How late will it get to MCI?