YX 4371 · BOS → JFK

left the gate 12:07 PM ET · taxiing (scheduled 11:59 AM ET → 1:24 PM ET)

Your aircraft is N426YX (E75L), coming in as YX 4414 from MSN: landed 11:21 AM ET.

Forecast issued Sat 11:00 AM ET · 1h before departure

Arrive at JFK more than 15 minutes late?

63% chance · ±0 pts +33 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to JFK?

On time or early
35%
15–30 min late
44%
30 min–1 hour late
8%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
5%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 11am departures from BOS are often late

↑ Cloud base down to 400 ft forecast at BOS that day

↑ This flight has been late 34% of the time recently

↓ YX's recent on-time record

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at JFK

Weather at each end

BOS (origin) Gusts8 kt Ceiling400 ft Visibility3 mi Precip0.03 in

JFK (destination) Gusts21 kt Ceiling9,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

YX 4371 · BOS → JFK

Odds over time

How late will it get to JFK?