Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

CAPE AIR · FLIGHT 9K 1010 LANDED 9:01 AM ET, ~9 MIN LATE · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Sunday, November 8 Today

9K 1010 · AUG → BOS

took off 8:00 AM ET · landed 9:01 AM ET (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Sun 9:00 AM ET · 1h after departure

Arrive at BOS more than 15 minutes late?

12% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ This route's recent record

↑ Cloud base down to 700 ft, visibility down to 2 mi forecast at AUG that day

↑ Other factors

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ Gusts to 26 kt forecast at BOS that day

Weather at each end

AUG (origin) Gusts21 kt Ceiling1,500 ft Visibility4 mi Precipnone

BOS (destination) Gusts24 kt Ceiling3,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

9K 1010 · AUG → BOS

Odds over time