Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

CAPE AIR · FLIGHT 9K 18 SCHEDULED · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Sunday, November 8 Today

9K 18 · BOS → AUG

departs 1:23 PM ET · arrives 2:18 PM ET

Forecast issued Sun 6:00 AM ET · 7h before departure

Arrive at AUG more than 15 minutes late?

35% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 700 ft, visibility down to 2 mi forecast at AUG that day

↑ This route's recent record

↑ 1pm departures from BOS are often late

↓ AUG usually runs smoothly

↓ Arrivals into AUG at that hour are usually not late

Weather at each end

BOS (origin) Gusts26 kt Ceiling3,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

AUG (destination) Gusts22 kt Ceiling1,100 ft Visibility2 mi Precip0.14 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

9K 18 · BOS → AUG

Odds over time