Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

CAPE AIR · FLIGHT 9K 325 LANDED 10:20 AM ET, ~6 MIN LATE · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Sunday, November 8 Today

9K 325 · HPN → LEB

took off 9:05 AM ET · landed 10:20 AM ET (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Sun 10:00 AM ET · 1h after departure

Arrive at LEB more than 15 minutes late?

15% chance · ±1 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ This route's recent record

↑ HPN is prone to delays

↑ Mostly benign weather forecast at LEB

↓ Arrivals into LEB at that hour are usually not late

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

Weather at each end

HPN (origin) Gusts16 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

LEB (destination) Gusts9 kt Ceiling3,900 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

9K 325 · HPN → LEB

Odds over time