Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

SOUTHERN AIRWAYS EXPRESS · FLIGHT 9X 578 SCHEDULED · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Sunday, November 8 Today

9X 578 · HNL → MKK

departs 6:59 AM HT · arrives 7:17 AM HT

Forecast issued Sun 10:00 AM ET · 2h before departure

Arrive at MKK more than 15 minutes late?

7% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

What’s moving the odds

↑ This route's recent record

↑ Other factors

↓ 6am departures from HNL are usually not late

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

Weather at each end

HNL (origin) Gusts24 kt Ceiling6,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

MKK (destination) Gusts25 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

9X 578 · HNL → MKK

Odds over time