9X 756 · OGG → LNY

departs 8:12 AM HT · arrives 9:03 AM HT

Forecast issued Sun 7:00 AM ET · 6h before departure

Arrive at LNY more than 15 minutes late?

8% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to LNY?

On time or early
90%
15–30 min late
2%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
1%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ This route's recent record

↑ Other factors

↓ 8am departures from OGG are usually not late

↓ Arrivals into LNY at that hour are usually not late

Weather at each end

OGG (origin) Gusts27 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

LNY (destination) Gusts26 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

9X 756 · OGG → LNY

Odds over time

How late will it get to LNY?