tailodds FORECAST

Schedule: the flights that flew on Sunday, Nov 1, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 1805 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

AA 1805 · PHX → AUS

departs 8:33 PM MT · arrives 11:50 PM CT
Forecast issued Fri 7:00 PM ET · 52h before departure
Arrive at AUS more than 15 minutes late?
52% chance · ±7 pts – · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
MOSTLY HISTORY WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 6.9d Now 1d 12h 6h Departs Lands

How late will it get to AUS?

  1. On time or early
    48%
  2. 15–30 min late
    15%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    17%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    16%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    3%
  6. Cancelled
    <1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.