tailodds FORECAST

Schedule: the flights that flew on Sunday, Nov 1, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 2157 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

AA 2157 · DFW → PDX

departs 9:28 PM CT · arrives 11:45 PM PT
Forecast issued Fri 12:00 PM ET · 58h before departure
Arrive at PDX more than 15 minutes late?
44% chance · ±2 pts – · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
MOSTLY HISTORY WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 6.9d Now 2d 1d 12h 6h Departs Lands

How late will it get to PDX?

  1. On time or early
    56%
  2. 15–30 min late
    16%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    18%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    7%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    3%
  6. Cancelled
    <1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.