tailodds FORECAST

Schedule: the flights that flew on Sunday, Nov 1, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 2392 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

AA 2392 · ORD → SEA

departs 9:57 PM CT · arrives 12:38 AM PT
Forecast issued Fri 6:00 PM ET · 53h before departure
Arrive at SEA more than 15 minutes late?
33% chance · ±2 pts – · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
MOSTLY HISTORY WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 15% 30% 45% 60% 7.0d Now 1d 12h 6h Departs Lands

How late will it get to SEA?

  1. On time or early
    66%
  2. 15–30 min late
    7%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    17%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    7%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    3%
  6. Cancelled
    <1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.