Schedule: the flights that flew on Sunday, Nov 1, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 3120 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Sunday, November 8 Tomorrow

AA 3120 · DFW → LAX

departs 10:29 PM CT · arrives 11:54 PM PT

Forecast issued Sat 12:00 AM ET · 48h before departure

Arrive at LAX more than 15 minutes late?

35% chance · ±6 pts −6 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to LAX?

On time or early
64%
15–30 min late
15%
30 min–1 hour late
14%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ AA's recent on-time record

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ 10pm departures from DFW are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at DFW

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at LAX

Weather at each end

DFW (origin) Gusts6 kt Ceiling4,900 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

LAX (destination) Gusts11 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 3120 · DFW → LAX

Odds over time

How late will it get to LAX?