Schedule: the flights that flew on Sunday, Nov 1, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 3230SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
AA 3230 · PDX → PHX
departs 6:28 PM PT · arrives 10:14 PM MT
Forecast issued Fri 1:00 PM ET · 56h before departure
Odds over time
Arrive at PHX more than 15 minutes late?
30%chance · ±6 pts– · 24h
HOW SURE WE AREModerate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
How late will it get to PHX?
On time or early
70%
15–30 min late
10%
30 min–1 hour late
11%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.