Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

ALASKA · FLIGHT AS 2633 LANDED 2:25 AM CT, ~12 MIN LATE · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Sunday, November 8 Today

AS 2633 · CVG → IAH

took off 1:13 AM ET · landed 2:25 AM CT (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Sun 5:00 AM ET · 4h after departure

Arrive at IAH more than 15 minutes late?

18% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Other factors

↑ This route's recent record

↑ AS's recent on-time record

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at IAH

Weather at each end

CVG (origin) Gusts18 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

IAH (destination) Gusts11 kt Ceiling7,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AS 2633 · CVG → IAH

Odds over time