Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

ALASKA · FLIGHT AS 2647 SCHEDULED · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Sunday, November 8 Today

AS 2647 · SMF → AFW

departs 5:51 AM PT · arrives 10:42 AM CT

Your aircraft is N5827K (A333), coming in as AS 2691 from CVG: landed 2:29 AM PT.

Forecast issued Sun 5:00 AM ET · 4h before departure

Arrive at AFW more than 15 minutes late?

22% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

What’s moving the odds

No breakdown for this forecast yet.

Weather at each end

SMF (origin) Gusts6 kt Ceiling300 ft Visibility0.5 mi Precipnone

AFW (destination) Gusts4 kt Ceiling7,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AS 2647 · SMF → AFW

Odds over time