Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

ALASKA · FLIGHT AS 2650 SCHEDULED · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Sunday, November 8 Today

AS 2650 · IAH → SMF

departs 7:11 AM CT · arrives 8:45 AM PT

Your aircraft is N5881K (A333), coming in as AS 2633 from CVG: landed 2:25 AM CT.

Forecast issued Sun 5:00 AM ET · 3h before departure

Arrive at SMF more than 15 minutes late?

15% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

What’s moving the odds

No breakdown for this forecast yet.

Weather at each end

IAH (origin) Gusts11 kt Ceiling7,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

SMF (destination) Gusts6 kt Ceiling300 ft Visibility0.5 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AS 2650 · IAH → SMF

Odds over time