Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

ALASKA · FLIGHT AS 2693 IN THE AIR (OFF 4:06 PM PT, ETA 7:31 PM HT) · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Sunday, November 8 Today

AS 2693 · ONT → HNL

took off 4:06 PM PT · expected to land 7:31 PM HT (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Sun 7:00 PM ET · 0h before departure

Arrive at HNL more than 15 minutes late?

23% chance · ±1 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ HNL is prone to delays

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ 4pm departures from ONT are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at HNL

↓ Sundays in November are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

ONT (origin) Gusts12 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

HNL (destination) Gusts23 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AS 2693 · ONT → HNL

Odds over time