AS 7076 · PDX → FAI

departs 5:05 AM PT · arrives 7:53 AM AKT

Forecast issued Sun 5:00 AM ET · 3h before departure

Arrive at FAI more than 15 minutes late?

14% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to FAI?

On time or early
86%
15–30 min late
9%
30 min–1 hour late
2%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Mostly benign weather forecast at FAI

↑ AS's recent on-time record

↑ Other factors

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ 5am departures from PDX are usually not late

Weather at each end

PDX (origin) Gusts10 kt Ceiling4,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

FAI (destination) Gusts7 kt Ceiling3,600 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AS 7076 · PDX → FAI

Odds over time

How late will it get to FAI?