DL 2541 · MCO → AUS

departs 6:57 AM ET · arrives 8:57 AM CT

Forecast issued Sat 6:00 PM ET · 13h before departure

Arrive at AUS more than 15 minutes late?

16% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to AUS?

On time or early
83%
15–30 min late
7%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 400 ft, 0.5 in of rain forecast at AUS that day

↑ AUS is prone to delays

↑ This flight has been late 21% of the time recently

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at MCO

Weather at each end

MCO (origin) Gusts7 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

AUS (destination) Gusts15 kt Ceiling400 ft Visibility3 mi Precip0.50 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

DL 2541 · MCO → AUS

Odds over time

How late will it get to AUS?