G4 2669 · EVV → PIE

departs 1:43 PM CT · arrives 4:56 PM ET

Forecast issued Sat 11:00 PM ET · 16h before departure

Arrive at PIE more than 15 minutes late?

23% chance · ±4 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to PIE?

On time or early
76%
15–30 min late
9%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ G4's recent on-time record

↑ This flight has been late 34% of the time recently

↑ Other factors

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at PIE

↓ 1pm departures from EVV are usually not late

Weather at each end

EVV (origin) Gusts12 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility0.5 mi Precipnone

PIE (destination) Gusts9 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

G4 2669 · EVV → PIE

Odds over time

How late will it get to PIE?