G4 3010 · LCK → SRQ

departs 8:51 PM ET · arrives 11:22 PM ET

Forecast issued Sun 4:00 PM ET · 5h before departure

Arrive at SRQ more than 15 minutes late?

23% chance · ±0 pts +1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to SRQ?

On time or early
76%
15–30 min late
8%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ G4's recent on-time record

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ Arrivals into SRQ at that hour are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at SRQ

↓ Sundays in November are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

LCK (origin) Gusts16 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

SRQ (destination) Gusts10 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

G4 3010 · LCK → SRQ

Odds over time

How late will it get to SRQ?