Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

CHINA EASTERN · FLIGHT MU 589 SCHEDULED · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Sunday, November 8 Tomorrow

MU 589 · PVG → SFO

departs 2:15 PM CST · arrives 7:40 AM PT

Forecast issued Sat 4:00 AM ET · 21h before departure

Arrive at SFO more than 15 minutes late?

22% chance · ±5 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

What’s moving the odds

↑ SFO is prone to delays

↑ This route's recent record

↑ SFO is busy at that time

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at PVG

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at SFO

Weather at each end

PVG (origin) Gusts8 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

SFO (destination) Gusts11 kt Ceiling3,500 ft Visibility7 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

MU 589 · PVG → SFO

Odds over time