MX 1499 · CHS → TTN

departs 4:48 PM ET · arrives 6:42 PM ET

Forecast issued Sat 11:00 PM ET · 18h before departure

Arrive at TTN more than 15 minutes late?

20% chance · ±3 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to TTN?

On time or early
78%
15–30 min late
7%
30 min–1 hour late
8%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ This route's recent record

↑ 4pm departures from CHS are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at CHS

↓ Sundays in November are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

CHS (origin) Gusts10 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

TTN (destination) Gusts18 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

MX 1499 · CHS → TTN

Odds over time

How late will it get to TTN?