PD 656 · LAS → YYZ

took off 11:41 PM PT · expected to land 6:45 AM EST (scheduled 12:01 AM PT → 7:35 AM EST)

Forecast issued Sun 5:00 AM ET · 2h after departure

Arrive at YYZ more than 15 minutes late?

0% chance · ±0 pts +4 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to YYZ?

LIVE

On time or early
100%
15–30 min late
0%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
0%
Over 2 hours late
0%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%; while it’s in the air they come from the FAA’s arrival estimate.

What’s moving the odds

↑ This route's recent record

↑ 12am departures from LAS are often late

↑ Other factors

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ Arrivals into YYZ at that hour are usually not late

Weather at each end

LAS (origin) Gusts8 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

YYZ (destination) Gusts20 kt Ceiling3,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

PD 656 · LAS → YYZ

Odds over time

How late will it get to YYZ?