Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

QANTAS · FLIGHT QF 3 SCHEDULED · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Sunday, November 8 Today

QF 3 · AKL → JFK

departs 5:58 AM NZDT · arrives 3:52 AM ET

Forecast issued Sat 6:00 AM ET · 6h before departure

Arrive at JFK more than 15 minutes late?

23% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

What’s moving the odds

↑ This route's recent record

↑ JFK is prone to delays

↑ JFK is busy at that time

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at AKL

Weather at each end

AKL (origin) Gusts8 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

JFK (destination) Gusts22 kt Ceiling2,700 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

QF 3 · AKL → JFK

Odds over time