Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

QANTAS · FLIGHT QF 7004 SCHEDULED · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Sunday, November 8 Today

QF 7004 · JFK → AKL

departs 11:31 PM ET · arrives 10:02 AM NZDT

Forecast issued Sun 9:00 AM ET · 14h before departure

Arrive at AKL more than 15 minutes late?

16% chance · ±1 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

What’s moving the odds

↑ This route's recent record

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ JFK is busy at that time

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at JFK

↓ Arrivals into AKL at that hour are usually not late

Weather at each end

JFK (origin) Gusts21 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

AKL (destination) Gusts— Ceiling— Visibility— Precip—

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

QF 7004 · JFK → AKL

Odds over time