Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

SUN COUNTRY · FLIGHT SY 3004 LANDED 7:44 AM ET, ~7 MIN LATE · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Sunday, November 8 Today

SY 3004 · PHX → CVG

took off 2:32 AM MT · landed 7:44 AM ET (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Sun 9:00 AM ET · 4h after departure

Arrive at CVG more than 15 minutes late?

25% chance · ±1 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Other factors

↑ This route's recent record

↑ SY's recent on-time record

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ 2am departures from PHX are usually not late

Weather at each end

PHX (origin) Gusts10 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

CVG (destination) Gusts19 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

SY 3004 · PHX → CVG

Odds over time