Schedule: the flights that flew on Sunday, Nov 1, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 1192
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, November 8
WN 1192 · FLL → SJU
departs 7:49 PM ET · arrives 11:28 PM AT
Forecast issued Fri 7:00 AM ET · 61h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 42%
Sun 11/8
Mon 11/9 37%
Thu 11/12 37%
Odds over time
Arrive at SJU more than 15 minutes late?
30%
chance · ±5 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
30%
Leave 15+ late
42%
Arrive 1h+ late
8%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
6.8d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at SJU more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 34% · changed – in 24h
–
30%
Yes 30%
No 70%
Leave FLL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 47% · changed – in 24h
–
42%
Yes 42%
No 58%
Arrive at SJU more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed – in 24h
–
8%
Yes 8%
No 92%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to SJU?
On time or early
70%
15–30 min late
4%
30 min–1 hour late
18%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
7pm departures from FLL are often late
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at FLL
↓
Sundays in November are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
FLL (origin)
Gusts 12 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
SJU (destination)
Gusts 8 kt Ceiling 3,100 ft Visibility 9 mi Precip 0.55 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.