Schedule: the flights that flew on Sunday, Nov 1, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 1341
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, November 8
WN 1341 · PHX → DAL
departs 5:50 PM MT · arrives 9:08 PM CT
Forecast issued Fri 1:00 PM ET · 55h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Sun 11/8
Mon 11/9 43%
Tue 11/10 28%
Wed 11/11 30%
Thu 11/12 49%
Odds over time
Arrive at DAL more than 15 minutes late?
44%
chance · ±4 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
44%
Leave 15+ late
55%
Arrive 1h+ late
9%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
6.8d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at DAL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 41% · changed – in 24h
–
44%
Yes 44%
No 56%
Leave PHX more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 55% · changed – in 24h
–
55%
Yes 55%
No 45%
Arrive at DAL more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 9% · changed – in 24h
–
9%
Yes 9%
No 91%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to DAL?
On time or early
56%
15–30 min late
18%
30 min–1 hour late
17%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
5pm departures from PHX are often late
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at DAL
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at PHX
Weather at each end
PHX (origin)
Gusts 12 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
DAL (destination)
Gusts 5 kt Ceiling 6,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.