Schedule: the flights that flew on Sunday, Nov 1, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 1629
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, November 8
WN 1629 · ELP → HOU
departs 4:51 PM MT · arrives 7:46 PM CT
Forecast issued Fri 5:00 PM ET · 50h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 50%
Sun 11/8
Mon 11/9 36%
Thu 11/12 36%
Odds over time
Arrive at HOU more than 15 minutes late?
36%
chance · ±4 pts
−1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
36%
Leave 15+ late
44%
Arrive 1h+ late
6%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.8d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at HOU more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 31% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
36%
Yes 36%
No 64%
Leave ELP more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 43% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
44%
Yes 44%
No 56%
Arrive at HOU more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
6%
Yes 6%
No 94%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to HOU?
On time or early
64%
15–30 min late
14%
30 min–1 hour late
16%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
Arrivals into HOU at that hour are often late
↓
Sundays in November are usually quieter than average
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at ELP
Weather at each end
ELP (origin)
Gusts 13 kt Ceiling 8,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.02 in
HOU (destination)
Gusts 13 kt Ceiling 1,400 ft Visibility 7 mi Precip 0.05 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.