Schedule: the flights that flew on Sunday, Nov 1, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 1798
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, November 8 Tomorrow
WN 1798 · BWI → SAT
departs 8:00 PM ET · arrives 11:00 PM CT
Forecast issued Sat 11:00 AM ET · 33h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Sun 11/8
Mon 11/9 44%
Tue 11/10 31%
Wed 11/11 39%
Thu 11/12 35%
Fri 11/13 34%
Odds over time
Arrive at SAT more than 15 minutes late?
41%
chance · ±6 pts
−4 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
41%
Leave 15+ late
43%
Arrive 1h+ late
5%
Cancelled
1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.8d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at SAT more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 33% · changed −4 pts in 24h
−4 pts
41%
Yes 41%
No 59%
Leave BWI more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 51% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
43%
Yes 43%
No 57%
Arrive at SAT more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
5%
Yes 5%
No 95%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to SAT?
On time or early
58%
15–30 min late
19%
30 min–1 hour late
17%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↑
Cloud base down to 333 ft, 1.4 in of rain forecast at SAT that day
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at BWI
↓
Sundays in November are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
BWI (origin)
Gusts 17 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
SAT (destination)
Gusts 24 kt Ceiling 300 ft Visibility 3 mi Precip 1.37 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.