Schedule: the flights that flew on Sunday, Nov 1, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 1917
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, November 8 Tomorrow
WN 1917 · ELP → SAT
departs 6:45 PM MT · arrives 9:21 PM CT
Forecast issued Sat 5:00 AM ET · 40h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 58%
Sun 11/8
Mon 11/9 41%
Tue 11/10 31%
Wed 11/11 32%
Thu 11/12 41%
Fri 11/13 40%
Odds over time
Arrive at SAT more than 15 minutes late?
46%
chance · ±2 pts
−1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
46%
Leave 15+ late
47%
Arrive 1h+ late
9%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.9d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at SAT more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 35% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
46%
Yes 46%
No 54%
Leave ELP more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 39% · changed −3 pts in 24h
−3 pts
47%
Yes 47%
No 53%
Arrive at SAT more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 9% · changed −5 pts in 24h
−5 pts
9%
Yes 9%
No 91%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to SAT?
On time or early
54%
15–30 min late
17%
30 min–1 hour late
20%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↑
Cloud base down to 400 ft, 1.2 in of rain forecast at SAT that day
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
Sundays in November are usually quieter than average
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at ELP
Weather at each end
ELP (origin)
Gusts 13 kt Ceiling 3,500 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
SAT (destination)
Gusts 24 kt Ceiling 400 ft Visibility 2 mi Precip 1.17 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.